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Download Minding the Weather: How Expert Forecasters Think (MIT by Robert R. Hoffman,Daphne S. LaDue,H. Michael Mogil,Paul J. PDF

By Robert R. Hoffman,Daphne S. LaDue,H. Michael Mogil,Paul J. Roebber,J. Gregory Trafton

This booklet argues that the human cognition method is the least understood, but most likely most crucial, section of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how humans gather substantial and hugely equipped wisdom and advance the reasoning abilities and techniques that let them to accomplish the top degrees of functionality. The authors think about such subject matters because the forecasting place of work; atmospheric scientists' descriptions in their reasoning options; the character of craftsmanship; forecaster wisdom, perceptual talents, and reasoning; and professional platforms designed to mimic forecaster reasoning. Drawing on learn in cognitive technology, meteorology, and machine technological know-how, the authors argue that forecasting comprises an interdependence of people and applied sciences. Human services will continuously be necessary.

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